Pavement is essentially a thin wear surface over a structural base. The base is what supports loads. When water reaches the base — through surface cracks, joint failures, or rising groundwater — the base loses strength. Saturated stone or soil compresses unevenly under traffic, and the surface above settles into low spots.
In Connecticut, the cycle gets worse every winter. Saturated base water freezes, expanding ~9% in volume and lifting the pavement. When it thaws, the base compresses back, but not uniformly. After enough cycles, what started as a hairline crack becomes a pothole, and what started as one bad joint becomes a section of alligator cracking.